PHOENIX It's a wet start to 2022 across Arizona! I hope you had a great Christmas and a Happy New Year so far. SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS. Dry with above normal high temperatures from the 5th to the 11th with highs in the mid-60's to the lower 70's. And that would bring a significantly colder risk to much of the northern U.S. this winter, according to Crawford. The newest edition of the 230-year-old series projects the 2021-22 winter as a particularly cold one, dubbing it the "season of shivers." The almanac's editor, Janice Stillman, says it could even . No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. While this isn't always the case every time La Nia is present, it is representative of the average impacts. The MAIN PAGE of this website has every alert/article issued at current. For the first Summer since 2010 & the sixth time since 1980, there were no record highs set or tied at the airport. The yearly high temperature was 111 on June 16th while the yearly low temperature was 26 on February 3rd. By Paul Rusnak | September 11, 2022. For us across the Southwest, La Nia typically brings drier-than-normal conditions during the winter. The average yearly temperature of 54.3 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 31st warmest on record through the end of February. December climate data across southeast Arizona, Winter climate data across southeast Arizona. Every one of them ended up being cooler than a year ago. The monthly average temperature of 85.8 is 1.1 BELOW normal ranks as the 38th warmest August on record. The widely followed youtube weather channel, is calling for a mixed bag of weather this upcoming winter season. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 4.80" is just under two & a third inches below normal and ranks as the 19th driest January through August period on record. This is in sharp contrast to the previous water year which was rather wet with the airport recording 14.23". Managing Editor Sandi Duncan says for our region, in the North Central . An statistical oddity occurred in 2022 in that not one daily rainfall record was set at the official recording site. The table below shows the breakdown for highs, low maximums and high minimums. A first look at Winter 2022/2023 forecast shows an obvious influence of the third-year La Nina phase. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. The seasonal average temperature of 55.3 goes into the record books as the 13th warmest on record, tied with Winter 1942-1943 & last winter. Copyright TWC Product and Technology LLC 2014, 2023. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 36% chance that they will end up above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. January climate data across southeast Arizona. Colder air and blocking weather pattern often develop when the polar vortex is weak. WINTER SEASON 2022/2023 FIRST LOOK FORECAST - Severe Weather Europe April climate data across southeast Arizona. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. This ranks as the 5th warmest monsoon on record, tied with 2011. The average yearly temperature, through the end of May, of 64.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 10th warmest on record, tied with 2000. In a couple of words: its nice! It ended being the coolest Fall since 2006. The previous two occurrences were in 1984 & 2010. The monthly average temperature of 89.1 is 3.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 5th warmest June on record. This is a quite a difference from a year ago when the airport recorded 13.84" of rain through the end of October. You also get the member section, which has controllable models like rain, wind, snow, in high resolution along with a GPS feature which is updated when an event is in the area Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high 94 on the 3rd to a low of 43 on the 25th. There should be enough snow on the ground still if you're looking to hit the slopes, but any further lashing will (hopefully) hold off for a little while longer. You'll receive your first newsletter soon! The best hidden gems and little known destinations - straight to your inbox. February 08, 2021 : Atmospheric conditions and temperature F: RealFeel F: Atmospheric Climate Prediction Center - Seasonal Outlook - National Oceanic and Arizona weather in January 2024 | Arizona 14 day weather Love Arizona? Three temperature records (one high & two warm lows) were set or tied. In other words, it will be cold in the area. Weather wise, is January a good time to visit Arizona? Thanks to the new warmer 30-year climate normals, which went into effect last year, the average yearly temperature this year through the end of March is below normal although it was warmer than two years ago (56.8 vs 56.5). CPC forecasts, thanks to weakening La Nia conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, probabilities leaning for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for most the remainder of the year. November 2022 to October 2023 Winter will be warmer than normal, with above-normal precipitation. account_box Log in person_add Join settings Settings Sensor Network Maps & Radar Severe Weather News & Blogs Mobile Apps Historical Weather star 36.91 N, 111.46 W The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. including sunrise/sunset and moon phases. How harsh will winter be? Six organizations issue forecasts. OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. Long-Range Weather Forecast for 2022 | The Old Farmer's Almanac It begins just at the backend. The airport needs to record around 0.37" of rain during December to escape being ranked in the top 10 driest years on record. Weather; Archive; Weather Widget F. July climate data across southeast Arizona. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 48% chance that they will end up above normal and a 19% chance that they will end up below normal. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. We say absolutely! Arizona to have dry, warm winter in 2022-2023, research shows | 12news.com Additionally this is the fifteenth April in the past seventeen that the airport recorded below normal rainfall. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. Weather forecasts that start where the others stop. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. For a more accurate weather forecast please select a city, Click on a day for an hourly weather forecast, Royal Palms Resort and Spa, part of Hyatt. The Climate Prediction Center forecast for Fall 2022 called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures and a 22% chance of below normal temperatures. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. All NOAA. The state's smoky skies were caused by a wildfire in Arizona, but the National Weather service said Monday's smoke and heat will be gone Tuesday. Weather Forecast Office. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 79 on the 27th to a low of 30 on the 15th & 17th. Mortgage Applications Plunge Could Send These Multifamily REIT Stocks Tucson monthly climate reports for 2022 - National Weather Service Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. The seasonal average dew point value was 19. You can expect sleet, snow, and rain throughout the season. ajgarrison - Flickr The February outlook for the area, issued by the Climate Prediction Center on January 31st, called for a 47% chance that temperatures would be above normal & 20% chance that temperatures would be below normal. Areas from the Gulf Coast to the Southern Plains and mountain West are most favored to see above-average temperatures for the entire three-month winter period from December through February, according to an outlook released Thursday by The Weather Company, an IBM Business, and Atmospheric G2. Heavy rain and flooding potential forecast for much of Arizona It's not . US Dept of Commerce The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is seven-tenths of a degree above normal and ranks as the 17th warmest January on record. My model is showing drier than normal conditions for most of California, majorly drier than normal for Southern California than Northern. Global emissions have grown in most years since 1900 and have accelerated over time, according to data from IEA. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.19". A record cool high temperature was set on the 24th with a high of 67 breaking the record of 68 from 1936 & 1978. Page, AZ Weather History | Weather Underground Spring ended on a streak of 63 consecutive days with no rain being recorded at the International airport. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. hit 113.9 degrees F, 45.5 degrees C. Amazing. This is the 2nd most number of days during Summer on record but well behind the record of 33 days set in 2020. Long-Range Weather Forecast for 2022 | The Old Farmer's Almanac While its critics say its weather predictions are essentially a flip of the coin, Geiger said in general he has been told the forecasts are about 80% accurate and are especially on target when it comes to winter forecasts. The average yearly temperature, through the end of September, of 74.7 is 1.1 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record, tied with 2016. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 2.82" which is just over eight-tenths of an inch above normal and ranks as the 34th wettest August on record. There were five days that recorded freezing low temperatures at the airport which is up from the three that occurred in the previous winter but down five from the 1991-2020 normal period. Dallas Area Storms Cause Power Transformer To Explode, Cold Or Flu? Please try another search. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area as is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season. This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 111 on June 16th to a low of 66 on June 5th. Winter Weather Forecast For the Valley: See Daily Predictions If it says liked, dont hit it because thats unfollowing and you wont get updates at AZWF page on your feed. The silver lining is that when warmer weather finally does arrive, we'll be even more grateful for it. As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! What is the chance of rain in Arizona in January? This led to isolated areas of heavy rain and flash flooding along with hail. However, this ingredient in the forecast cannot be predicted until winter is in progress. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. And for only the 9th time since 1895, rainfall was recorded on both New Year's Eve & Day with the most recent being in 2018-19 & 2016-17. 2022-2023 Quail Reports - Arizona Quail Hunting Camp What to expect this winter: NOAA's 2021-22 Winter Outlook Weekly sea-surface temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius from early Sept. through early Oct. 2022. Perhaps the snow will even reach the desert lowlands! The last March to record above normal rainfall was in 2004 when 1.12" was recorded. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. A Strong 2024 La Nina and a new "Cold Pacific Ocean Phase" will usher in Dangerous . NWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.26" which ranks as the 9th driest water year to date with three months left in the water year calendar. Tracking NFL Coaches Fired After 2022 Season Kliff Kingsbury and Lovie Smith are the latest NFL head coaches to be fired By Max Molski Published January 9, 2023 Updated on January 9, 2023 . Arizona weather in February 2024 | Arizona 14 day weather Support local journalism. This ranks as the 16th driest first half of the water year period on record. It's also the ninth time February this century that the average monthly temperature was below normal. May climate data across southeast Arizona. According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 83 on the 14th to a low of 26 on the 3rd. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. . The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. Which City Is the Worst for Fall Allergies This Year? This is the second consecutive October to be below normal. 3rd Coldest January- February on Record in 2021. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a half an inch (0.50") with a localized spots, especially in the foothills, recording up to nine-tenths of an inch (0.90"). Arizonans Beware Of Extreme Polar Temperature Swings This Winter The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area with totals ranging from 0.20" to 1.75" with localized higher amounts to 2.50". Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.81" BELOW normal & ranks as the 9th driest January through April period on record. Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. The cooling of these waters can have an atmospheric domino effect that influences weather patterns across the globe. The water year rainfall total 2.03" ranks as the 9th driest on record. . Multiple locations were found. On the precipitation side, the forecast leaned toward below normal at a 45% chance. Detailed Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 - day/night temperatures, precipitations - World-Weather.info. National Weather Service This update comes as Arizona sits deep in drought. That is 100% free to view. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in January 2024. 2022-2023 forecast: Chances for El-Nino? - mkweather With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. Precipitation across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 1.75" to 4.00" with the highest totals occurring north of Tangerine Road extending east from Dove Mountain in Marana to the northern part of Oro Valley. The last seven days of the month was dry with below normal high and low temperatures. The 30-year-old Musgrove is coming off the best season of his career and a stellar postseason run that included 7.0 dominant innings in a winner-take-all Wild Card Game 3 against the Mets in New York. Click Here To Join The Season Tier, Join The Main Arizona Weather Force Facebook Group (50 percent delivery time) You can join the main AZWF page as well through that group. The first day of winter and the shortest day of the year, officially arrives on December 21, 2022, but that doesn't always mean that the cold temperatures and snow storms will wait until then. Desert biome, Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . According to the Farmers' Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year - though drier than average, too. Farmers' Almanac forecasts cool weather for Arizona this fall Two daily record temperatures were set during the month. He also said that in its more than 200 years of printing, only seven people have done the weather, with each working for about 30 or 40 years andthey have applied that sameformula. The Farmers' Almanac is out with their Extended Winter Outlook for 2021-2022 and is calling for a "Frosty Flip-Flop Winter". The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. View detailed forecast, WeatherTAB 2023. Local News Sports Politics Opinion For Subscribers . Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers Almanac,said there wasnt much particularly interesting or new forecasted for the area this fall, with generally fair weather from September through October. The wather in Arizona in February can vary between cold and nice weather days.